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Demographic change in Europe

The power of demography

Demography tells the story of our lives. Alongside the figures on births, deaths and migration, there are personal stories and decisions that lie at the core of demographic change. Demographic policies are there to deliver what is needed, where it is needed the most. Personal stories relate to how long we are likely to live and the quality of those years, how many children we have, and where and how we are likely to spend our lives. 

Demographic change impacts these decisions, and our economies, our welfare and health systems as well as housing and infrastructure needs in the EU’s regions. It ultimately has implications for government budgets and policy choices. The EU monitors these developments and integrates demographic concerns into the recommendations to Member States and into the design of relevant EU policies. 

The EU has taken a number of specific initiatives which support Member States in dealing with the most relevant implications of demographic change. 

Coming soon: The 2026 Demography report will be released on 14 July 2026.

Demographic trends

Understanding the causes and effects of demographic transitions allows us to better manage their consequences and make use of their opportunities, ultimately helping us build a prosperous EU for future generations.

  • Growing senior population

    By 2050 the share of people 65 and above will be around 30%, compared to around 20% today.

  • Declining birth rate

    In 2024, the average number of births per woman was 1.34, which is well below the value of 2.1 required to maintain a stable population in the absence of migration. 

  • A changing EU population

    According to the latest projections, the EU population is projected to peak at 453.3 million in 2029, after which a sustained long-term decline will begin.

  • Smaller households

    The number of households has continued to grow, while the average household size has continued to fall. Households of a single person have grown the fastest, to over 75 million of the total 202 million households in 2024. 

  • Living longer

    The gradual increase in life expectancy in the EU has resumed after COVID-19, reaching an estimated 84.1 years for women and 78.9 years for men as of 2024, and it is projected to continue to rise.

  • Living healthier lives

    People live longer, healthier and more active lives that bring benefits to individuals, families and communities across all generations.

  • Fewer Europeans in the world

    The EU's share of the global population is expected to fall from about 5.4% in 2025 to 3.4% by 2100. 

  • The resource of migration

    Migration can help address labour shortages and support economic growth. In the context of demographic change, legal migration from non-EU countries offers a valuable opportunity to fill vacancies and boost innovation and entrepreneurship.

The impact of demographic change

Demographic change in the EU has an impact on

  • The labour market - as Europe’s working-age population is shrinking sustaining economic growth requires us to broaden our workforce and to increase productivity through technological advances and skills development.
  • Employment - as people live longer and healthier lives, many citizens want to work longer, although not necessarily in the same kind of jobs.
  • Care services - the growing share of older people in the EU brings an increased need for care services and challenges the long-term financial sustainability of our welfare states.
  • Regional cohesion - demographic trends do not affect every country and every region in the same way. Whereas a number of EU Member States are projected to experience a decline in their population already in the next years, others are projected to see population growth over the same period.
  • Rural areas - generally speaking, rural regions are more affected by population decline due to natural changes and outmigration than predominantly urban ones.
  • Housing - population growth, life expectancy, urbanisation, migration patterns and the rise in single-person households shape housing demand by influencing the number and types of dwellings required. Conversely, housing availability, affordability and suitability influence demographic patterns.
  • Europe’s position in the world - Europe, like other continents in the world, experiences demographic shifts and a declining share of the global population in the coming decades. Therefore working with our partners internationally is part of our efforts to mitigate the potential shortcomings. Increased cooperation can for example help to address the shrinking workforce by investing in skills, innovation and talent to keep the single market competitive and prosperous.
  • Our democracy – demographic change impacts directly our democracy and the ability of our institutions to deliver what is needed, where it is needed. This is why it is important to have the conversation about whether democratic institutions need to adapt their short- to mid- to long-term thinking on policies and public services in view of demographic change and in view of intergenerational fairness and solidarity. Delivering for citizens increases legitimacy and most crucially builds a relationship of trust between citizens and their democratic institutions. This helps avoid voter apathy and a loss of systemic trust.

Explore more demographic statistics

What the Commission is doing

The European Commission is addressing the consequences of demographic change through a range of policy initiatives. It supports Member States in managing demographic challenges and delivering coordinated policies at the appropriate levels.

The Demography Toolbox

The June 2023 European Council conclusions called on the Commission to put forward a toolbox to support Member States in addressing demographic challenges and their impact on Europe’s competitive edge. The Demography Toolbox, prepared in response by the Commission, draws on experiences from across the EU and sets out a comprehensive approach to demographic change structured around four pillars:

  1. Supporting parents
    by better reconciling family aspirations and paid work, notably by ensuring access to quality childcare and good work-life balance.
  2. Supporting and empowering younger generations
    to thrive, develop their skills, facilitate their access to the labour market and to affordable housing.
  3. Empowering older generations
    Sustaining their welfare through reforms combined with appropriate labour market and workplace policies.
  4. Addressing labour shortages through managed legal migration where necessary
    in full complementarity to harnessing talents from within the EU.

The toolbox recognises the need to take on board the territorial dimension of demographic shifts, specifically in regions that experience the phenomenon of population decline and a significant outward mobility of young workers (‘brain drain’).

Other key initiatives

Ensuring that all young people under the age of 30 receive a good quality offer of employment, continued education, apprenticeship and traineeship.

Science behind the policies

Highlighted news and reports

Qida–Impact Investment in Home-Care & Technology for Older Adults

This report presents the projections showing the economic and budgetary impact of an ageing population over the long term.

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